Since initiating market reforms in 1978, China has shifted from
a centrally-planned to a market-based economy and has experienced rapid
economic and social development. GDP growth has averaged nearly 10 percent a
year—the fastest sustained expansion by a major economy in history—and has
lifted more than 800 million people out of poverty. China reached all the
Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) by 2015 and made a major contribution to
the achievement of the MDGs globally.
With a population of 1.3 billion, China recently became
the second largest economy and is increasingly playing an important and
influential role in the global economy.
Yet China remains a developing country (its per capita
income is still a fraction of that in advanced countries) and its market
reforms are incomplete. According to China’s current poverty standard (per
capita rural net income of RMB 2,300 per year in 2010 constant prices), there
were 70.17 million poor in rural areas in 2014.
Rapid economic ascendance has brought on many challenges
as well, including high inequality; rapid urbanization; challenges to
environmental sustainability; and external imbalances. China also faces
demographic pressures related to an aging population and the internal migration
of labor.
Significant policy adjustments are required in order for
China’s growth to be sustainable. Experience shows that transitioning
from middle-income to high-income status can be more difficult than moving up
from low to middle income.
China’s 12th Five-Year Plan (2011-2015) and the newly approved 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-2020)
forcefully address these issues. They highlight the development of services and
measures to address environmental and social imbalances, setting targets to
reduce pollution, to increase energy efficiency, to improve access to education
and healthcare, and to expand social protection. The annual growth target in
the 12th Five-Year Plan
was 7 percent and the growth target in the 13th Five-Year
Plan is 6.5 percent, reflecting the re-balancing of the economy and the focus on
the quality of growth while still maintaining the objective of achieving a
“moderately prosperous society” by 2020 (doubling GDP for 2010-2020).
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